Originally published on WeeBet on 2026-06-23. Reposted with canonical link.
France vs. Iraq — Group I Matchday 2, 2026 FIFA World Cup
France and Iraq meet on June 22, 2026, at 21:00 UTC (5:00 p.m. ET) at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia — and the markets make the outcome close to unambiguous.
FanDuel Sportsbook lists France as -1500 favorites on the 90-minute money line, while Iraq sit at +3300 and a draw at +1200.
On event-contract platform Kalshi, traders assign France a 92% win probability, with a draw at 7% and Iraq at just 3%.
This is France's second Group I fixture; a win locks up qualification with one match still to play. Track live odds, scores, and all Group I markets at the WeeBet World Cup 2026 hub, and follow the action in real time on the dedicated match page.
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{ "label": "Iraq ML (FanDuel)", "value": "+3300", "trend": "flat", "note": "Iraq" },
{ "label": "Total goals O/U", "value": "3.5 (-122 Over)", "trend": "up", "note": "FanDuel" },
{ "label": "France last 12 intl.", "value": "W10 D1 L1", "trend": "up", "note": "France" }
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Group I Context and What's at Stake
Group I runs from June 16 to 26, 2026, and comprises France, Senegal, Iraq, and Norway.
The top two teams — and possibly the best third-place finisher — advance to the round of 32.
France enters with three points on the board; Iraq sits at zero after Norway's 4-1 victory. Norway leads Group I on goal difference over France, with both teams level on points.
A France win today would put Les Bleus firmly in control of the group with a match to spare, while a draw or loss would leave the door open for Norway, Senegal, and even Iraq to crowd the standings heading into the final round.
France: Form, Firepower, and a Record in the Making
Didier Deschamps has been in charge of France since 2012 and has said this World Cup will be his last with Les Bleus.
France opened their 2026 campaign with a 3-1 win over Senegal. After a slow first half, they reminded everyone why they are tournament favorites with a dominant second period — Kylian Mbappé opened the scoring in the 65th minute, becoming the third Frenchman with a goal in three World Cups.
A minute after Barcola's strike, Mbappé got his second and France's third goal with a right-foot shot from 30 yards. In doing so, he became France's all-time leading scorer in history with 58 goals.
Now 27, Mbappé won the World Cup in 2018 as a 19-year-old. A Real Madrid player since 2024, he has already scored the goals needed to surpass Just Fontaine's national World Cup record, taking his tournament tally to 14.
Over France's last five competitive games, there have been over 2.5 goals in each fixture, and Les Bleus have won ten of their last 12 internationals.
France managed eight attempts on target in their opener against Senegal.
Deschamps may rotate given the quality differential — Lucas Digne, Manu Koné, and Bradley Barcola could come into the XI. William Saliba has admitted playing through pain but is expected to start in defence.
Iraq: History, Heart, and a Brutal Group Draw
The Lions of Mesopotamia are back at the FIFA World Cup after delivering one of the most emotional stories of the entire Asian qualifying campaign — it took forty years to return to the biggest stage, and fate added a twist: their only previous appearance came at Mexico 1986, and they secured this ticket once again on Mexican soil.
Following their 4-1 loss to Norway, Iraq return to action on June 22 against World Cup favorites France.
Iraq equalized with its second-ever World Cup goal against Norway, but had zero shots after the 63rd minute and has now lost all four of its World Cup matches across both tournaments.
Australian head coach Graham Arnold has been in charge of Iraq since 2025.
Captain Jalal Hassan, a goalkeeper, is the most experienced player in the squad with 100 caps.
The standout attacking threat is striker
Aymen Hussein — the national team's all-time leading scorer and the man who delivered the crucial goal that helped secure World Cup qualification.
Ali Al-Hamadi is listed as doubtful for this match.
Tactically, Iraq stands out for defensive intensity, physical strength, and collective commitment, with dangerous forwards capable in aerial duels and quick transitions.
Their biggest weakness, however, is the gap in individual quality versus elite opposition — facing opponents with heavy possession and attacking speed, they often struggle defensively.
Head-to-Head
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This is the first-ever senior international meeting between France and Iraq.
The two nations' only prior match on record was a 4-0 France win in a 2014 friendly.
What the Odds Say
FanDuel lists France at -1500 on the 90-minute money line, Iraq at +3300, and the draw at +1200. The over/under for total goals sits at 3.5, with the Over priced at -122.
Beyond this match, France's odds to win the World Cup outright sit at 19.8% on Kalshi — the best mark of any team in the field, ahead of Spain and Argentina.
On goalscorer markets,
Mbappé is priced at -220 anytime, with Marcus Thuram at -105, Ousmane Dembélé at -110, Bradley Barcola at +110, Michael Olise at +140, and Aymen Hussein at +650.
The structural case for a high-scoring France win is hard to ignore.
Erling Haaland had 5 shots, 4 on target, 7 touches in the box, and 2 goals against this same Iraq defence.
Iraq's expected goals against per shot allowed is the worst at the 2026 World Cup, generating premium chance quality for every France attempt.
For the most current prices — including in-play spreads and alternative markets — check the live board at WeeBet's World Cup 2026 hub and the France vs. Iraq match page, updated tick-by-tick through kickoff and beyond.
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Frequently Asked Questions
When and where does France vs. Iraq kick off?
The match kicks off on Monday, June 22 at 10 p.m. BST (21:00 UTC / 5:00 p.m. ET) at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
(WeeBet live data confirms the 21:00 UTC kickoff.)
Have France and Iraq ever played each other before?
This fixture marks the first-ever meeting between the two nations on a senior international stage.
The only recorded meeting was a 4-0 France win in a 2014 friendly.
What is Iraq's World Cup history?
The Lions of Mesopotamia are back at the tournament for the first time since Mexico 1986, when they lost all three of their group-stage games.
It took forty years for Iraq to return to the biggest stage in world football.
What is Kylian Mbappé's significance heading into this match?
In scoring his second goal against Senegal, Mbappé became the highest scorer in France's history with 58 goals.
He has also already hit the goals needed to surpass Just Fontaine's national World Cup record, standing at 14 World Cup goals total.
With Miroslav Klose's all-time record of 16 within reach, the Golden Boot race gives Mbappé significant motivation against an Iraq side that conceded four to Norway.
