Gold has been consolidating in a tight range, but the macro setup tells a different story.
The Fundamentals
- Real yields are still negative - When adjusted for inflation, bonds pay negative returns. This creates a powerful bid for gold.
- Central bank buying at record pace - Central banks added over 1,000 tonnes of gold recently.
- Retail is net short - Contrarian indicator flashing bullish.
- Technical support at \,300 - This level has held for months.
Why Quantitative Analysis Matters
Most traders rely on gut feelings. Professional traders use quantitative regime detection to separate signal from noise.
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