Originally published on WeeBet on 2026-06-16. Reposted with canonical link.
France vs Senegal — 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I Preview
France, the world's top-ranked nation and one of the tournament's heavy favourites, opens their 2026 FIFA World Cup campaign against Senegal on Monday, June 16 at 19:00 UTC (15:00 ET) at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey. According to WeeBet live data, kickoff is confirmed for 19:00 UTC.
Markets price France at -225 to win, with the draw at +350 and Senegal out at +550.
The favouritism is grounded in squad quality and global ranking, but history issues a pointed warning:
the two nations met on the opening day of the 2002 finals, and Senegal pulled off one of the great World Cup shocks, beating the reigning champions 1-0.
Group I has been labelled a genuine test —
it was dubbed the tournament's 'Group of Death' when the draw was made last December, with France ranking among the favourites to claim a third World Cup trophy this summer.
Track live odds, real-time scores, and all Group I markets at the WeeBet World Cup 2026 hub →.
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{ "label": "Draw probability", "value": "~22%", "trend": "flat", "note": "Implied odds" },
{ "label": "Senegal win probability", "value": "~15%", "trend": "flat", "note": "Implied odds" },
{ "label": "France FIFA rank", "value": "#1", "trend": "flat", "note": "June 2026" },
{ "label": "Senegal consecutive WCs", "value": "3rd straight", "trend": "up", "note": "Senegal" }
]
The Group I Context
Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup runs from June 16 to 26, 2026, and consists of France, Senegal, Iraq, and Norway.
The top two teams, possibly along with the third-placed team, will advance to the round of 32.
Both France and Senegal will regard this opener as pivotal:
both teams know an early win could set the tone for the group.
France arrive as one of the tournament favourites, while Senegal land in North America as one of the strongest African sides in the field.
France carry far more squad depth and recent pedigree, yet Senegal have the pace and physicality to make any favourite uncomfortable.
France Form & Key Players
France go into the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the top-ranked nation in the world. The 2018 champions have an abundance of quality in pursuit of their third world title.
This will be the final tournament for coach Didier Deschamps, one of only three men to lift the World Cup as both a player (1998) and a manager (2018).
France come into the tournament in fine form, having lost just once — a recent friendly to Ivory Coast.
Their final warm-up painted a more complete picture:
Deschamps' France concluded their warm-up fixtures with a 3-1 win over Northern Ireland, having opted to play their friendlies in Europe rather than North America.
Kylian Mbappé (Captain, Real Madrid):
With 12 World Cup goals so far, the Real Madrid marksman is in touching distance of Miroslav Klose's record of 16 World Cup goals.
He is just one goal away from tying Olivier Giroud's all-time French scoring record.
Ousmane Dembélé (PSG):
The reigning Ballon d'Or winner will rule the flanks alongside Ballon d'Or contender Michael Olise.
Fresh off winning the Champions League and scoring 35 times in the campaign, Dembélé will be joined by club-mates Désiré Doué and Bradley Barcola in a fearsome-looking attack.
William Saliba (Arsenal):
The Arsenal defender looks set to overcome a minor injury which saw him absent from training in recent days.
Saliba is expected to marshal a talented back four
against a Senegal side built to counter at pace.
Such is the ridiculous depth in Didier Deschamps' squad that there's no space for Real Madrid schemer Eduardo Camavinga in the group.
Senegal Form & Key Players
This is Senegal's third straight appearance at a World Cup, and there's plenty of experience throughout the squad.
Their road to North America was serene:
Senegal finished undefeated at the top of their qualification group to guarantee their direct spot in the 2026 World Cup.
Coach Pape Thiaw, who replaced Aliou Cissé, arrives with a colourful recent backstory.
Senegal head into World Cup 2026 fresh from a controversial AFCON tournament — the Lions of Teranga beat Morocco in the final but were subsequently stripped of their title after the Confederation of African Football ruled they forfeited the game by leaving the field of play without the referee's authorisation.
Sadio Mané (Captain):
Veteran forward and captain Sadio Mané, 34, is set to play in his last World Cup — he has said he will retire from international football after the tournament. While age has eroded his once blistering pace, he retains world-class touch, vision and leadership.
He is Senegal's all-time top scorer with 53 goals
and remains their defining player.
Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea/Bayern Munich loan):
The physical, fast striker gets in all the right positions, even if his finishing sometimes lets him down.
Ismaila Sarr (Crystal Palace):
The pacy winger has excelled at Crystal Palace, helping them to an FA Cup and Europa League wins.
He offers a direct, high-tempo outlet that can stretch any backline.
Coach Pape Thiaw has selected a host of experienced players, including Idrissa Gueye, Kalidou Koulibaly, Sadio Mané and Édouard Mendy.
Tactical Picture
This matchup pits France's technical superiority and depth against Senegal's physicality and counter-attacking threat. Didier Deschamps will want control and early goals, while Senegal coach Pape Thiaw will look to frustrate and hit on the break.
The France boss is likely to start with a quartet of Désiré Doué, Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembélé behind Kylian Mbappé.
That front four generated over 100 combined league goals in 2025-26. Midfield discipline —
Aurélien Tchouaméni alongside Adrien Rabiot, the latter having enjoyed stellar form at AC Milan this season
— will be critical in protecting a defence that, while talented, has shown vulnerability at pace.
Senegal will set up in a compact 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, use Koulibaly's authority to win second balls, and depend on quick transitions through Mané, Jackson and Sarr.
Kalidou Koulibaly's captain role at centre-back means his direct battle against Mbappé will largely define the game.
Head-to-Head
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{ "m": "2014 Friendly", "a": { "v": "4", "tone": "good" }, "b": { "v": "0", "tone": "bad" } },
{ "m": "Overall record (W)", "a": { "v": "1", "tone": "warn" }, "b": { "v": "2", "tone": "good" } }
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The teams met on the opening day of the 2002 FIFA World Cup, when Senegal defeated defending champions France 1–0 in a major upset.
The teams then faced each other once more in 2006, a friendly won 2–1 by Senegal.
France responded with a dominant 4-0 friendly win in 2014. Across all competitive and friendly meetings, Senegal hold the superior head-to-head record. History, while a limited dataset, points to Senegal's ability to disrupt France when the occasion demands it.
The Teranga Lions will draw on that 2002 memory the moment they walk out.
What the Markets Say
As of June 16, 2026,
France are priced at -225 to win, with the draw at +350 and Senegal out at +550.
Implied probabilities place France's win chance at roughly 59%, the draw at 22%, and a Senegal win at around 15%.
A leaky French back line makes a clean sheet far from guaranteed
, which drives value in both-teams-to-score markets and keeps the draw price interesting.
Expect a competitive first half before France's quality likely tells.
For live, updating odds on match result, both-teams-to-score, first goalscorer, and all Group I markets, visit the WeeBet France vs Senegal live match page →. Markets move fast at kickoff — set a price alert and check back in.
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Frequently Asked Questions
When and where does France vs Senegal kick off?
According to WeeBet live data, France vs Senegal kicks off on Monday, June 16, 2026 at 19:00 UTC (15:00 ET / 12:00 PT) at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey — Match 17 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Who are the key players to watch in this game?
For France, Kylian Mbappé (captain, Real Madrid) leads the line chasing Olivier Giroud's all-time scoring record, with Ballon d'Or winner Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise providing the creative fuel. For Senegal, Sadio Mané — the nation's all-time top scorer with 53 goals, playing what he has confirmed will be his final World Cup — is the main danger, supported by Nicolas Jackson and Ismaila Sarr in attack.
Has Senegal beaten France before?
Yes.
Senegal defeated defending champions France 1–0 in a major upset at the opening match of the 2002 FIFA World Cup
, and also won a 2006 friendly 2–1. France won the 2014 friendly 4–0. Senegal hold a 2-1 edge in all meetings.
Where can I follow live odds and place positions on this match?
The WeeBet World Cup 2026 hub at /events/world-cup-2026 tracks live odds across all Group I markets, and the dedicated match page at /events/world-cup-2026/match/world-cup-2026-france-vs-senegal-2026-06-16 provides live scores, in-play event contracts, and real-time market movement from kickoff. Always gamble responsibly.
